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How life expectancy in Russia is changing up to 2026

· dynamics annual · rows: 9 · periods: 22 · section: Demography

The indicator reflects the average number of years a person born in a specific year is expected to live. The calculation is based on life tables for both sexes and three different forecast scenarios. The data covers three years: 2024, 2025, and 2026. The information accounts for demographic patterns and various development scenarios

Chart of the life expectancy forecast in Russia including three development scenarios through 2026

65 70 75 80 85 90 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044
how it will look

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Set in numbers

The table holds 9 series, running from 2024 to 2045, 22 reporting periods. 198 values in total.

Between 2024 and 2045 “Низкий вариант прогноза — Мужчины и женщины” rose from 73.2 to 77.2 — 5.4%.

All table numbers are series: 9
Series 2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045
Низкий вариант прогноза — Мужчины и женщины 73,17 73,35 73,52 73,68 73,85 74,02 74,20 74,36 74,52 74,68 74,84 75,03 75,21 75,39 75,59 75,78 76,03 76,33 76,62 76,82 77,00 77,15
Низкий вариант прогноза — Мужчины 68,12 68,33 68,54 68,73 68,94 69,15 69,36 69,56 69,75 69,95 70,14 70,36 70,57 70,77 70,99 71,20 71,47 71,77 72,06 72,28 72,47 72,60
Низкий вариант прогноза — Женщины 78,12 78,25 78,38 78,51 78,64 78,77 78,90 79,03 79,15 79,27 79,39 79,55 79,71 79,86 80,04 80,20 80,43 80,71 80,98 81,16 81,31 81,47
Средний вариант прогноза — Мужчины и женщины 73,48 73,87 74,26 74,64 75,03 75,41 75,79 76,16 76,52 76,86 77,19 77,51 77,81 78,09 78,36 78,62 78,86 79,09 79,30 79,49 79,67 79,83
Средний вариант прогноза — Мужчины 68,45 68,90 69,36 69,81 70,26 70,71 71,17 71,60 72,02 72,42 72,80 73,17 73,52 73,85 74,17 74,46 74,74 75,01 75,25 75,48 75,69 75,89
Средний вариант прогноза — Женщины 78,39 78,68 78,98 79,27 79,57 79,86 80,16 80,44 80,72 80,98 81,23 81,47 81,70 81,91 82,12 82,31 82,50 82,67 82,83 82,98 83,12 83,24
Высокий вариант прогноза — Мужчины и женщины 74,28 74,86 75,51 76,16 76,79 77,41 78,02 78,61 79,20 79,76 80,27 80,77 81,24 81,68 82,10 82,50 82,89 83,25 83,61 83,95 84,27 84,57
Высокий вариант прогноза — Мужчины 69,16 69,93 70,68 71,42 72,15 72,86 73,56 74,24 74,91 75,56 76,16 76,75 77,30 77,83 78,33 78,81 79,28 79,72 80,14 80,55 80,94 81,31
Высокий вариант прогноза — Женщины 79,23 79,55 80,06 80,56 81,04 81,51 81,97 82,41 82,86 83,28 83,68 84,07 84,43 84,78 85,11 85,43 85,74 86,04 86,34 86,63 86,89 87,14

How to read this table

The primary difference between rows is the forecast year, while columns are categorized by scenario and sex. The low forecast scenario accounts for less favorable conditions, while the high scenario represents a more optimistic development path. Comparing different scenarios within a single year allows for observing the range of possible values for males and females, as well as assessing the overall annual trend

What is visible in these numbers

The largest value belongs to “Высокий вариант прогноза — Женщины” — 87.1; the smallest is “Низкий вариант прогноза — Мужчины” at 72.6.

More in the section Demography»

Period and application

The forecast covers three calendar years from 2024 to 2026. Statistics are updated annually as new data and updated demographic estimates become available. The figures may be useful for long-term healthcare planning, pension system development, assessing social infrastructure load, and analyzing current demographic trends in the country

1 Демографический прогноз составлен без учета населения, проживающего в новых регионах России (Донецкая Народная Республика (ДНР), Луганская Народная Республика (ЛНР), Запорожская и Херсонская области).