Real household incomes in 2026: growth slowed to 1.2%

2026-10-09 · Living standards

In the first half of 2026, real monetary incomes of the Russian population increased by 1.2% compared with the same period of 2025. Real disposable incomes, i.e., after taxes and mandatory payments, rose by 1.5%. A year earlier the growth was 7.7%, in 2024 it was 9.9%. In rubles, the average income per person in the first half amounted to 72,500 per month. Below are the quarterly figures, reasons for the slowdown, regions and the ratio to the subsistence minimum. All data are from Rosstat tables, each chart has an interactive version on roschart.ru.

What are real incomes and how they differ from disposable incomes

Monetary incomes in Rosstat are compiled from everything people receive: wages, pensions and benefits, business income, interest on deposits, rent. The sum is divided by the number of residents to obtain per‑capita income. This is not a salary: children and retirees are included in the calculation, so income per person is usually lower than the average salary.

Real incomes show how this amount changed after adjusting for price growth. If income rose by 10% while prices rose by 10%, real incomes remain unchanged: 100% of the previous year. Real disposable incomes are calculated the same way, but mandatory payments—personal income tax, contributions, fees—are deducted from income first. This is closer to what remains in the wallet.

Real incomes in 2026 by quarters

In the first quarter of 2026 real incomes grew by 1.3% compared to the first quarter of 2025, in the second by 1.1%. Disposable increased by 1.7% and 1.5%. Both figures Rosstat still calls an estimate: the quarterly balance of incomes and expenditures is clarified retroactively, the first quarter has already been recalculated once.

The slowdown did not start in January. Already in the summer of 2025 growth was around 8–10%, and in the fourth quarter fell to 6%. The full quarterly table, from 2014 onward, can be viewed in the set real and real disposable incomes.

Real incomes by year: what to compare 2026

In the long series 1.2% looks modest, but it is still growth. From 2014 to 2017 real incomes fell for four consecutive years, the strongest in 2016, by 4.5%. The Covid year 2020 gave minus 1.4%. However from 2021 to 2025 incomes grew every year, and 2024 with its 9.9% was the best year in the series.

A detailed history since 2010 and a breakdown by districts are in the article "Real incomes of the Russian population by year".

Why real incomes have almost stopped growing

Real growth comes from two figures: how much incomes in rubles have increased and how much prices have risen. Let’s look at the first.

In the first half of 2024 the average income per person was 56,367 rubles per month, in the first half of 2025 it was 67,580 rubles, and in the first half of 2026 it was 72,500 rubles. It turns out that a year earlier incomes in rubles grew by almost 20%, and in 2026 only by 7.3%. Almost all of this increase went to price growth, leaving a residual 1.2%.

In short, the money itself slowed down: wages, bonuses, business and savings incomes are growing more slowly than a year ago. How prices changed this year can be seen on the page inflation in 2026, and you can calculate how much money from any past year is worth today in the inflation calculator.

Why are incomes always lower in the first quarter than in the fourth?

That’s how the year is arranged. In the fourth quarter of 2025 the income per person was 91,180 rubles per month, and in the first quarter of 2026 it was 68,285 rubles. At the end of the year annual bonuses and premiums are paid, so the fourth quarter is each year higher than the others. Therefore Rosstat compares a quarter with the same quarter of the previous year, not with the preceding one. If you compare consecutive quarters, in real terms the first quarter of 2026 gives 72.8% of the fourth, and this is a usual picture: in the first quarter of 2025 it was 76.1%.

Why are disposable incomes growing faster than real ones?

In 2026 disposable incomes increased by 1.5%, and real incomes by 1.2%. This means that mandatory payments took a slightly smaller share of income than a year earlier. In 2024 and 2025 it was the opposite: disposable incomes grew slower, 8.2% versus 9.9% and 7.4% versus 7.7%.

Income by region in the first half of 2026

Here the picture is completely different. Real incomes grew in all regions, but the spread is huge: from 0.2% in the Komi Republic to 21.3% in Chukotka.

The fastest income growth was in the Far East and the capital region:

• Chukotka Autonomous Okrug: +21.3%;
• Khabarovsk Krai: +10.1%;
• Altai Republic: +10.0%;
• Kalmykia Republic: +9.7%;
• Magadan Oblast: +9.3%;
• Moscow: +9.1%;
• Moscow Oblast: +7.0%.

Almost unchanged were Komi (+0.2%), Kemerovo Oblast (+0.3%), Kurgan Oblast and Chuvashia (both +0.6%), Nenets Autonomous Okrug (+0.8%), Samara Oblast (+0.9%), Yamalo-Nenets (+1.0%). Of the 85 regions in the table, 40 have growth below 3%, and only 16 have growth of 5% or more.

The full table for all subjects since 2024 is available in the dataset real monetary incomes by region.

Why is the nationwide figure lower than that of all districts?

This becomes clear when you add up the table: in the Central Federal District growth is 7.0%, in the Far East 4.4%, in the Urals 2.2%, and no district falls to 1.2%. Rosstat publishes the nationwide indicator as a separate line, and it is not an average across regions. There is no explanation in the table footnotes, and the 2026 data are marked as estimates. You can compare regions with each other using this table, but aggregating them into a Russian total is not advisable.

How much money per person in the regions

In rubles the difference between regions is even larger than in growth rates. The highest per‑capita income in the first half of 2026 was in Chukotka: 242,030 rubles per month. Next are the Yamalo‑Nenets Autonomous Okrug (181,314), Moscow (164,174), the Nenets Autonomous Okrug (163,028) and Magadan Oblast (154,567). Saint‑Petersburg with 107,895 rubles ranks eighth.

At the bottom of the list are Ingushetia (26,926 rubles), Karachay‑Cherkessia (34,622) and Tuva (34,887). The average income of a Moscow resident is six times higher than that of an Ingushetian resident. Northern allowances and prices are also different there, so comparing regions is fairer through the subsistence minimum.

You can find your region by quarter since 2011 in the dataset per‑capita monetary incomes by Russian subjects, and a long series for the country on the page per‑capita incomes by year.

Incomes and subsistence minimum

Rosstat calculates how many times the average income per person exceeds the subsistence minimum in a region. In the second quarter of 2026 for Russia this was 405.1%, i.e., income four times higher than the minimum. A year earlier it was 404.3%: with modest income growth the surplus over the minimum changed little.

By region the largest surplus is in Yamalia (740.7%), Moscow (636.1%), Saint‑Petersburg (546.6%), the Nenets Autonomous Okrug (533.9%) and Chukotka (509.5%). The smallest are in Ingushetia (163.6%), Karachay‑Cherkessia (197.7%) and Tuva (199.4%). In these three republics the average income is less than twice the subsistence minimum.

The notches on the chart show the same seasonality: every fourth quarter is higher than the others because of December payments. Series for all regions are collected in the dataset income‑to‑subsistence‑minimum ratios, and the minima by subject are in the regional ranking by subsistence minimum.

Questions and Answers

By how much did real incomes increase in 2026?

According to Rosstat, in the first half of 2026 real monetary incomes grew by 1.2% compared to the first half of 2025, and real disposable incomes by 1.5%.

What was the average income per person in Russia in 2026?

In the first half of 2026 the average monetary income per capita was 72,500 rubles per month: 68,285 rubles in the first quarter and 76,716 rubles in the second. This amount includes all incomes, including pensions and benefits, and it is divided among all residents, including children.

Where are real incomes growing the fastest?

In the first half of 2026 in Chukotka (+21.3%), Khabarovsk Krai (+10.1%), Altai Republic (+10.0%), Kalmykia (+9.7%), Magadan Oblast (+9.3%) and Moscow (+9.1%).

Did real incomes fall in 2026?

No. In none of the subjects in the table for the first half is there a value below 100%; the smallest growth was 0.2% in the Komi Republic. By year, real incomes last fell in 2020; by quarter, in the first quarter of 2021 (97.0% of the previous year).

How do real incomes differ from real wages?

Wages concern only the employed and are calculated per employee. Incomes include pensions, benefits, property and business earnings and are divided across the entire population. Therefore, these two indicators can grow at different rates.

In Short

• Real household incomes in the first half of 2026 grew by 1.2%, disposable incomes by 1.5%. In 2025 the growth was 7.7%, in 2024 it was 9.9%.
• Income per person in the first half was 72,500 rubles per month, 7.3% higher than a year earlier. A year ago the growth in rubles was almost 20%.
• The slowdown began in the fourth quarter of 2025, when growth fell to 6%.
• Incomes grow the fastest in Chukotka, Khabarovsk Krai, Altai Republic and Moscow; they barely grow in Komi, Kuzbass, Kurgan Oblast and Chuvashia.
• The average income in Russia is four times higher than the subsistence minimum, while in Ingushetia, Karachay‑Cherkessia and Tuva it is less than twice as high.

Source of all figures: Rosstat. Data for 2025 are preliminary, for 2026 are estimates.

See also

• Real incomes of the Russian population by year
• Purchasing power of incomes in 2026
• Inflation in 2026